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Stormteam Forecast

Winds from the northwest will be just cool enough for lake effect clouds over the Southern Tier Thursday

Here are the weather headlines:

• More clouds than sun for Thursday.
• Widespread showers over western New York for Halloween, but not too bad for Central New York.
• Northerly winds send the temperature down Saturday night.
• Measurable snow possible for the Mountains of West Virginia, Virginia, North Carolina and maybe Tennessee.

Winds from the northwest will be just cool enough for lake effect clouds over the Southern Tier Thursday. A few showers may fall early in the day over the Finger Lakes. Later in the day though, the air should begin to dry out a little which should limit the shower activity. There could be some sun breaking through the clouds Thursday.

Halloween:

On Friday, a potent storm will be tracking almost straight south from the Upper Great Lakes toward the Tennessee Valley. It will be riding south on an Arctic cold front. As it drives southward, colder air will follow immediately on its heels.

This type of storm track should be just far enough to our west so that at least during the day Friday we expect to be spared any widespread rain. In fact, our chances for rain during Trick-or-Treating look pretty slim now.

That storm will indeed send some colder weather our way, but it won’t be until Saturday night that we experience a real drop in temperature.

Middle Appalachia snowfall:

Friday night and Saturday could be rough for parts of the Appalachian Mountains. As the Tennessee Valley storm strengthens Friday night, it should begin to lay down some wet snow over the higher elevations of the central and perhaps northern Appalachians.

On Saturday, the storm will start to reform off the Carolina coast drawing much colder weather southward through Georgian and South Carolina, and also eastward across North Carolina and Virginia. For some, this could be record cold.

As for the Southern Tier, it won’t be until the storm moves toward the North Carolina Coast later Saturday that the colder weather spreads across the region

During the day Saturday, our temperatures may still be in the upper 40s, However, after dinner time, north to northeast winds will begin to strengthen over us and the temperature will drop. We’ll likely be in the very low 30s by sunrise Sunday.

Sunday should be a cold day with a few snow showers off Lake Ontario early in the day. They will likely be confined to the Finger Lakes, though.

Early next week should bring us warmer weather. While 70s don’t appear likely, we should see temperatures go above normal (normal highs by early November is low 50s)

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