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Stormteam Forecast

There will be a mix of sun and clouds across the Southern Tier today. You can expect a few scattered afternoon showers and storms as temperatures rise close to 80 degrees.

Here are the weather headlines for the end of the work week into the weekend:

· Temperatures will warm a good deal Friday. That should lead to scattered afternoon thunderstorms.
· We are watching a system with steady rain moving along the East Coast Saturday
· For CNY it looks just a few showers or storms but it will be a close call whether the steady rain gets in here.
· Temperatures climb further for the end of the weekend and into early next week.

Low pressure anchored up over southern Canada remains a player in our weather here in the Southern Tier. Although it is weakening and lifting north, enough energy is rotating around this storm to cause a few more scattered showers and storms Friday afternoon.

With that Canadian low pressure leaving, our temperature will warm up quite a bit Friday afternoon. We should make it to near 80.

For the last few days, we have been watching a storm tracking across the southern Plains toward the Gulf States. It has now tapped into moisture from the Caribbean and the Gulf, and during Friday that moisture will begin to move (or advect) northward toward New York State and New England.

This will be a close call. On Saturday, soaking rains seem a good bet for southeastern New York. The question is, will that moisture make a direct pass over Southern Tier? The jury is still out so to speak. Only about a third of the computer forecast models are calling for a direct hit here. The other models keep the heaviest of that rain to our east.

Even if the core of that moisture misses us, there should be one or two thundershowers around Saturday, and perhaps Sunday. At the very least, we are thinking that there may be plenty of cloud cover both weekend days.

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